West African precipitation anomaly 2017

July 2017 turned out to be extremely wet in West Africa with floodings in Senegal. This positive Senegalese precipitation anomaly has been forecast by some of our  climate forecasts – the ones started in July 2017 for the month of July with 40-55% probability for a wet season (see probability forecast map below). These maps show the forecast probability for a negative (blue) anomaly, normal climatic conditions or positive (red) anomaly. Without the forecast the probability for a negative anomaly, normal climatic conditions or positive anomaly is 33,3% each.